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Fascinating book in light of current events Aug 25, 2010 This was a well written and very interesting read. Reading this book after several subsequent financial crises definitely generated a lot of provocative thought about how the markets can be repeatedly stressed time and time again by people trying to exploit the inefficiencies of the financial system.
After reading other books that chronicle financial "drama" like Liar's Poker and Barbarians at the Gate: The Fall of RJR Nabisco, it's also interesting to see how the same characters appear over and over again. I use the word "characters", but these are in fact real people, not fictional characters... The happenings in this book are so incredible, that you just can't make this stuff up.
I really appreciated the author's ability to explain to the layman how the complex financial transactions were used and how they eventually led to disaster. This clarity helps the reader appreciate the cleverness of the participants as well as the hubris and shortsightedness.
Moral of this story .... ? Aug 20, 2010 Classic "greed and hubris" tale ....
The moral of the story is ...
No matter how smart you are, the market is always smarter.
Heck!! The markets weren't even "irrational" (and manipulated like they are now) at the time of the LTCM debacle.
These guys were just arrogant.
"Genius" wasn't their downfall, hubris was.
However, I must admit, these mathematicians were way ahead of their time.
If they'd had HFTCs (High Frequency Trading systems which are used today) to implement their trading strategies, their algorithms would've worked perfectly, and taken them out of the market.
The future has a way of arriving unannounced Aug 15, 2010 This book is by far one of the best Wall Street armchair books ever written and does a great job of explaining the workings and problems with the Black-Scholes option formular and how this lead to the catastrophic failure of LTCM, the worlds biggest hedge fund.
With the current economic crisis this book is extremely relevant and after reading it one cannot help thinking that Wall Street seamed to have failed learning the lesson of LTCM's failure, mainly that
* Don't be overly leveraged and illiquid at the same time (houses are notoriously illiquid, compared to stocks)
* The past is a poor predictor of the future (the US housing prises had only gone up for 60 years so why should the model predict anything else, indeed most models couldn't even handle negative growth)
* In a crisis everything is correlated
* Always take a sanity check of what your model is saying. Your model have gone horribly wrong if its OK with letting a strawbaerry picker earning 14.000$ year borrow 750.000$ for a house.
To sum up I will argue that this book is more important than ever and should be read not only for the fascinating story of LTCM but also to get a new perspective on the current crisis.
Read It While Sitting At Your Computer, Improves Your Experience 10x Aug 02, 2010 I read almost exclusively non-fiction, and even within that, a majority are finance related. What I like doing is reading while I'm sitting by my computer, so I can look up the people they mention and see what they're doing today. Chances are, if you're mentioned in a best-selling novel, there's something more out there about you online.
So, for example, while I read this book I learned about Meriwether's recent plays, that even after having such a catastrophic experience with one fund, he's had no problem raising money for two more. I think knowing that, among other things, makes reading this book all the more exciting.
It's a well written book, with good anecdotes and clear writing. But you already knew that from the other 240+ reveiews. I just wanted to recommend reading this book in context of present day. It'll take you longer to read it, but believe me, it will be worth it.
Perfect example of real life not fitting into a model Jun 29, 2010 Obviously the credentials of this team SHOULD have made success and riches a given. However, Wall St. respects no one thought or theory and will eventually weed out everyone. The trick is not to put all your eggs in one basket and leverage it 30x. The disection of LTCM's trades were interesting but the true wisdom in this book is hidden in the fact that nothing ever works exactly according to models. You must be willing to be humble and know when to walk away from an idea. Overall, interesting book, interesting trade and great lessons to be learned.
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